IBM

IBM

Information Technology Services Technology Armonk, NY, United States IBM (NYQ)
Quarter: Q3 2025 Reported: July 23, 2025 Sentiment: Positive

International Business Machines Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated solutions and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Software, Consulting, Infrastructure, and Financing segments. The Software segment offers hybrid cloud and AI platforms that allows clients to realize their digital and AI transformations across the applications, data, and environments in which they operate. Its Consulting segment focuses on skills integration for strategy, experience, technology, and operations by domain and industry. The Infrastructure segment provides on-premises and cloud based server, and storage solutions, as well as life-cycle services for hybrid cloud infrastructure deployment. Its Financing segment offers client and commercial financing, facilitates IBM clients' acquisition of hardware, software, and services. It has strategic partnership with various companies, including hyperscalers, service providers, system integrators, and software and hardware vendors that includes Adobe, Amazon Web services, Microsoft, Oracle, Salesforce, Samsung Electronics and SAP, and others. The company was formerly known as Computing-Tabulating-Recording Co. International Business Machines Corporation was incorporated in 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, New York.

Analysis Summary

IBM reported a strong second quarter for 2025, with total revenue reaching $17.0 billion, an 8 percent increase year-over-year, or 5 percent at constant currency. This growth was broadly distributed across its key segments. Software revenues led the charge at $7.4 billion, up 10 percent (8 percent at constant currency), notably driven by Hybrid Cloud (Red Hat) and Automation, both up 16 percent. Infrastructure revenues also saw significant expansion, growing 14 percent (11 percent at constant currency) to $4.1 billion, with IBM Z experiencing a remarkable 70 percent increase. Consulting revenues grew 3 percent to $5.3 billion, remaining flat at constant currency, while Financing revenues declined 2 percent to $0.2 billion.

The company demonstrated substantial improvements in profitability and operational efficiency. GAAP gross profit margin expanded by 200 basis points to 58.8 percent, and operating (Non-GAAP) gross profit margin increased by 230 basis points to 60.1 percent. Pre-tax income margins also saw healthy gains, with GAAP pre-tax income margin up 120 basis points to 15.3 percent and operating pre-tax income margin rising 110 basis points to 18.8 percent. Net income from continuing operations grew 20 percent year-over-year to $2.2 billion, translating to GAAP diluted EPS of $2.31, an 18 percent increase. For the quarter, free cash flow was $2.8 billion, up $0.2 billion year-over-year.

Management highlighted the continued resonance of its innovation with clients, particularly in deploying and scaling AI solutions. The generative AI book of business has accelerated, now exceeding $7.5 billion, underscoring IBM's deep innovation and domain expertise in a critical growth area. CEO Arvind Krishna emphasized exceeding expectations for revenue, profit, and free cash flow, attributing success to IBM's differentiated market position. CFO James Kavanaugh noted that revenue growth, portfolio mix, and productivity initiatives were key drivers for margin expansion and double-digit profit growth, fueling investments and shareholder returns.

Looking ahead, IBM has raised its full-year 2025 outlook for free cash flow, now expecting to exceed $13.5 billion. The company maintains its expectation for constant currency revenue growth of at least 5 percent for the full year, with currency anticipated to provide about a one-and-a-half-point tailwind. This positive guidance reflects confidence in sustained demand for its hybrid cloud and AI offerings, supported by a consistent dividend declaration of $1.68 per common share, marking over a century of consecutive quarterly dividends.

Key Highlights

  • Q2 2025 Revenue of $17.0 billion, up 8% YoY (5% at constant currency).
  • GAAP Diluted EPS of $2.31, an 18% increase YoY; Operating EPS of $2.80, up 15% YoY.
  • Raised full-year 2025 free cash flow outlook to over $13.5 billion.
  • Generative AI book of business accelerated to over $7.5 billion.
  • Strong segment growth: Software revenue up 10%, Infrastructure revenue up 14% (IBM Z up 70%).
  • Significant margin expansion: Operating Gross Profit Margin up 230 basis points to 60.1%.
  • Returned $1.6 billion to shareholders in dividends during the quarter.

Financial Metrics

eps
2.31
YoY: 18%
revenue
17 billion
YoY: 8%
guidance
net income
2.2 billion
YoY: 20%

Stock Performance (90 Days)

Data through Dec 30, 2025
Layoff Events
Earnings Calls

Positive Signals

  • Strong revenue growth across key segments (Software, Infrastructure).
  • Significant margin expansion and improved profitability.
  • Raised full-year free cash flow guidance.
  • Accelerating generative AI book of business ($7.5B+).
  • Consistent dividend history and shareholder returns.

Risks & Concerns

  • Downturn in economic environment and client spending budgets.
  • Failure of innovation initiatives, including AI development and use.
  • Ability to successfully manage acquisitions, alliances, and divestitures.
  • Cybersecurity, privacy, and AI considerations.
  • Fluctuations in financial results and currency.

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