Geopolitical Uncertainty and Corporate Hiring: What History Tells Us
An objective, data-driven analysis of how geopolitical events have historically affected corporate hiring decisions, employment rates, and workforce planning in the United States.
Insights
Deep dives on layoffs, hiring, and the economic signals shaping the workforce. All sourced, verified, and grounded in data... but also opinions.
An objective, data-driven analysis of how geopolitical events have historically affected corporate hiring decisions, employment rates, and workforce planning in the United States.
December 2025 saw 35,553 job cuts announced, the lowest monthly total since July 2024. But the full-year total reached 1,206,374 layoffs, a 58% increase from 2024 and the highest since 2020. Q4 marked the worst fourth quarter since 2008.
November 2025 employment data reveals a stalling labor market with an estimated 9,000-job contraction and 4.4% unemployment rate. Private payrolls lost 32,000 jobs while job openings increased mode…
November 2025 saw 71,321 job cuts announced, bringing the year-to-date total to 1.17 million—the highest since 2020. Despite a 53% monthly decline, layoffs remain 24% higher than November 2024.
Employment volatility, AI disruption, and sector shifts in 2025 signal major changes ahead. Here's what workers should expect from the 2026 job market.
With the official October 2025 BLS jobs report cancelled due to the government shutdown, we analyze alternative data showing 42,000 ADP private sector jobs, estimated 4.35% unemployment, and a surg…
The U.S. labor market added a surprising 119,000 jobs in September 2025 with unemployment rising to 4.4%, while August was revised from 22,000 jobs to a 4,000-job loss, the second monthly decline o…
The U.S. labor market in June 2025 added 147,000 jobs with unemployment falling to 4.1%, as state/local government led with 73,000 positions while long-term unemployment surged to 1.6 million.
The U.S. labor market in May 2025 added 139,000 jobs with unemployment at 4.2%, as healthcare led with 62,200 positions and federal workforce cuts reached 59,000 since January.
The U.S. labor market in April 2025 added 177,000 jobs with the unemployment rate steady at 4.2%, as healthcare led gains with 51,000 positions despite federal workforce reductions.
The U.S. labor market in March 2025 added 228,000 jobs, beating expectations with the unemployment rate at 4.2%, healthcare leading growth with 54,000 new positions.
U.S. employers announced 275,240 layoffs in March 2025, surging 60% from February. Federal government cuts escalated to 216,670 via DOGE (27 agencies). Technology 15,055, retail 11,709. Highest mon…
U.S. employers announced 172,000 layoffs in February 2025, surging 245% from January. Federal government led with 62,000 cuts via DOGE initiative. Retail announced 39,000, technology 15,000. Highest monthly total since July 2020.
U.S. employers added 143,000 jobs in January 2025 while unemployment fell to 4.0%. Job openings rose to 7.74 million, led by healthcare and retail sectors. Complete analysis of BLS Employment Situa…
U.S. employers announced 49,795 job cuts in January 2025, led by technology (7,488) and retail (6,419) sectors. Meta cut 3,600 jobs. Complete analysis of workforce reductions vs. 143,000 jobs gained.