Geopolitical Uncertainty and Corporate Hiring: What History Tells Us
An objective, data-driven analysis of how geopolitical events have historically affected corporate hiring decisions, employment rates, and workforce planning in the United States.
Insights
Deep dives on layoffs, hiring, and the economic signals shaping the workforce. All sourced, verified, and grounded in data... but also opinions.
An objective, data-driven analysis of how geopolitical events have historically affected corporate hiring decisions, employment rates, and workforce planning in the United States.
December 2025 saw 35,553 job cuts announced, the lowest monthly total since July 2024. But the full-year total reached 1,206,374 layoffs, a 58% increase from 2024 and the highest since 2020. Q4 marked the worst fourth quarter since 2008.
November 2025 saw 71,321 job cuts announced, bringing the year-to-date total to 1.17 million—the highest since 2020. Despite a 53% monthly decline, layoffs remain 24% higher than November 2024.
Employment data from 2025 reveals critical recession indicators. Analysis of 268,000+ layoffs, economist predictions, and historical patterns shows what to expect in 2026.
Analysis of job search timelines reveals the median is 68.5 days, but varies dramatically by industry (30-120 days), role level, salary range, and season. Here's what 1.1 million layoffs teach us about realistic expectations.
Analysis of 2025's complete employment picture: 1.1 million job cuts, 769,000 new jobs added, and what our analytics reveal about next year. Explore interactive data at theNumbers.io.
The U.S. labor market in June 2025 added 147,000 jobs with unemployment falling to 4.1%, as state/local government led with 73,000 positions while long-term unemployment surged to 1.6 million.
The U.S. labor market in May 2025 added 139,000 jobs with unemployment at 4.2%, as healthcare led with 62,200 positions and federal workforce cuts reached 59,000 since January.
The U.S. labor market in April 2025 added 177,000 jobs with the unemployment rate steady at 4.2%, as healthcare led gains with 51,000 positions despite federal workforce reductions.
The U.S. labor market in March 2025 added 228,000 jobs, beating expectations with the unemployment rate at 4.2%, healthcare leading growth with 54,000 new positions.
The U.S. labor market in February 2025 added 117,000 jobs (revised from initial 151,000), with the unemployment rate ticking up to 4.1% and job openings declining, signaling a gradual cooling trend.
U.S. employers added 143,000 jobs in January 2025 while unemployment fell to 4.0%. Job openings rose to 7.74 million, led by healthcare and retail sectors. Complete analysis of BLS Employment Situa…