Is a Recession Coming in 2026? What Employment Data Reveals
Employment data from 2025 reveals critical recession indicators. Analysis of 268,000+ layoffs, economist predictions, and historical patterns shows what to expect in 2026.
Insights
Deep dives on layoffs, hiring, and the economic signals shaping the workforce. All sourced, verified, and grounded in data... but also opinions.
Employment data from 2025 reveals critical recession indicators. Analysis of 268,000+ layoffs, economist predictions, and historical patterns shows what to expect in 2026.
U.S. employers announced 153,074 layoffs in October 2025, up 183% from September. YTD crosses 1.1 million: 1,099,500 (highest since 2020, +65% YoY). Warehousing explodes: 47,878 (up 4,700%). AI cut…
U.S. employers announced 54,064 layoffs in September 2025, down 37% from August. YTD: 946,426 (highest since 2020). But planned hiring fell to 204,939 YTD (lowest since 2009). AI cuts: 7,000 in Sep…
U.S. employers announced 62,075 layoffs in July 2025, up 29% from June and 140% year-over-year, ending summer lull. YTD: 806,383 (highest since 2020, exceeds all of 2024). Tech crosses 100k milesto…