CHEVRON CORP

Chevron Corp.

Oil & Gas Integrated Energy Houston, TX, United States CVX (NYQ)
Quarter: Q3 2025 Reported: September 25, 2025 Sentiment: Neutral

Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated energy and chemicals operations in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Upstream and Downstream. The Upstream segment engages in the exploration, development, production, and transportation of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification of liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil through pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and carbon capture and storage, as well as a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment refines crude oil into petroleum products; markets crude oil, refined products, and lubricants; manufactures and markets renewable fuels; transports crude oil and refined products through pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufactures and markets commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was formerly known as ChevronTexaco Corporation and changed its name to Chevron Corporation in 2005. Chevron Corporation was founded in 1879 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Analysis Summary

Chevron's Q3 2025 preliminary estimates highlight the initial financial integration of the Hess Corporation acquisition. The company projects an after-tax loss of $(200) to $(400) million directly attributable to Hess, primarily driven by significant severance and other transaction costs estimated between $(350) and $(450) million. However, on an adjusted basis, excluding these one-time integration expenses, the Hess acquisition is expected to contribute positively to earnings, with an estimated impact of $50 to $150 million.

Operationally, the acquired Hess assets are projected to contribute 450-500 MBOED in net oil-equivalent production for Q3 2025, factoring in some downtime. Depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DD&A) related to legacy Hess and purchase price allocation are estimated between $1.2-$1.4 billion. Capital expenditures for the Hess segment are anticipated to be $1.0-$1.25 billion. The company also reported expected proceeds and deposits of $410 million from asset sales, specifically a Malaysia/Thailand JDA asset sale.

Management commentary emphasizes the expectation of realizing significant synergies from the Hess transaction in future quarters, with approximately half of the cash outflows for severance and transaction costs occurring in Q3 2025 and the remainder within the next 12 months. A working capital outflow of $0.5 to $1.5 billion is expected for Q3 2025. The company estimates approximately 2 billion shares outstanding at quarter-end and 1.95 billion weighted average shares outstanding for the quarter. While initial integration costs are substantial, the underlying adjusted performance and future synergy expectations suggest a strategic long-term benefit from the acquisition. The preliminary nature of these estimates, subject to final accounting and reporting, is a key consideration, along with general industry risks such as commodity price fluctuations and regulatory changes.

Key Highlights

  • Hess acquisition estimated to cause $(200)-$(400) million after-tax loss in Q3 2025.
  • Adjusted earnings impact from Hess (excluding transaction costs) estimated at $50-$150 million positive.
  • Severance and other transaction costs related to Hess acquisition are $(350)-$(450) million.
  • Net oil-equivalent production from Hess assets projected at 450-500 MBOED.
  • Expected capital expenditures for Hess assets: $1.0-$1.25 billion.
  • Anticipated proceeds of $410 million from Malaysia/Thailand JDA asset sale.
  • Significant synergies from Hess acquisition expected in future quarters.

Financial Metrics

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revenue
guidance
net income

Stock Performance (90 Days)

Data through Dec 29, 2025

Positive Signals

  • Positive adjusted earnings impact from Hess acquisition ($50-$150 million) despite initial costs.
  • Expectation of significant synergies from Hess acquisition in future quarters.
  • Proceeds from asset sales ($410 million) contributing to liquidity.
  • Clear guidance provided for Hess-related production (450-500 MBOED) and capital expenditures.

Risks & Concerns

  • Initial after-tax loss from Hess acquisition ($(200)-$(400) million) due to substantial transaction costs.
  • Significant working capital outflow ($0.5-$1.5 billion) expected in Q3 2025.
  • Preliminary nature of financial estimates, subject to adjustments and final accounting determinations.
  • Uncertainties regarding the successful integration of Hess operations and realization of anticipated synergies.
  • General industry risks including changing crude oil and natural gas prices, demand fluctuations, and regulatory changes.

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